平安彩票

[Will the supply of cotton be sufficient for Zheng ]
Release date:[2019/7/10] Is reading[43]次

When the subject of Sino-US trade and economic speculation came to an end, today's cotton unexpectedly ushered in a down limit. It is an accident, but it is also expected. After all, cotton is in a short-term situation with sufficient supply and weak consumption, showing a situation that is easy to fall and hard to rise.


"Worry, the blessing of the blessing; the well-being of the blessings. The knowing of its poles: its injustice." Originally, after the outside world hoped that China and the United States reached a settlement, the cotton price ushered in a bottoming out, and Zheng cotton could regain 15,000 yuan/ton - the level before the Chinese and American sides added tariffs. The result turned out to be counterproductive. Under the stimulus of Sino-US peace talks, the CF1909 main contract rebounded to a height of only 14,300 yuan / ton, and ushered in a down limit after a few days of small shocks.


The analysis of cotton price rise and fall is still to return to the fundamentals. Researchers from various institutions have already analyzed the supply and demand data of the cotton market. Regardless of the accuracy of the data, the general direction is basically the same, that is, the supply of cotton is sufficient on the basis of short-term reserve cotton rotation, quota issuance and new cotton production. According to the latest cotton weekly report released by the National Cotton Market Monitoring System, as of July 5, the national new cotton sales progress for this year was 74.4%, down 8.9 percentage points year-on-year. There are still about 1.57 million tons of new cotton sold in the country; Zheng cotton futures warehouse The list continued to decrease by 27,000 tons to 633,900 tons last week; the reserve cotton was listed for about 10,000 tons per day, and all transactions were completed during the week, and the domestic supply side was still abundant.


According to the above data, the rebound pressure of cotton prices is indeed not small. Whether today’s plunge will push cotton prices to a double dip, there are also differences in the views of different professionals. Some believe that the current cotton price is already at the bottom, although the possibility of continuing to explore is there, but the chance of deep decline is not great. For speculators, it is possible to gradually build more positions. After all, cotton prices have been significantly lower than cotton production costs, and the running time of prices below the value will not last long. Some people think that there are many variables in Sino-US trade negotiations. It is still unclear. If you talk about it, you can confirm that the current price is the bottom. On the contrary, there is still a certain downside for cotton prices.


In the current macroeconomic pressure and all kinds of news, Zheng cotton has reasons and opportunities for rising and falling. In the case of analyzing the ups and downs, investors should not easily participate.

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